Autumn and winter storm rainfall in the #UK and Ireland was made about 20% heavier by human-caused ClimateChange

During the winter half-year of 2023/2024, western #Europe experienced a series of damaging #storms. These storms led to disruptions and the associated #precipitation caused exacerbated #flood risks.

https://www.worldweatherattribution.org/autumn-and-winter-storms-over-uk-and-ireland-are-becoming-wetter-due-to-climate-change/

A lengthy drought that caused widespread disruption to commercial ships passing through the #Panama Canal in 2023 would have been “unlikely” without the influence of El Niño, according to a rapid attribution study. With the canal’s water use expected to more than double by 2050, the study warns that authorities “may need to re-introduce shipping restrictions to safeguard drinking water supplies, particularly in #ElNiño years”.

https://www.carbonbrief.org/drought-behind-panama-canals-2023-shipping-disruption-unlikely-without-el-nino/

Heavy precipitation hitting vulnerable communities in the UAE and Oman becoming an increasing threat as the climate warms

From April 14 to15 2024, the United Arab Emirates (#UAE) and the northern parts of #Oman were hit by exceptionally heavy #rainfall causing massive disruption in infrastructure and public life in the area and leading to at least 20 fatalities in Oman and four in the UAE.

https://www.worldweatherattribution.org/heavy-precipitation-hitting-vulnerable-communities-in-the-uae-and-oman-becoming-an-increasing-threat-as-the-climate-warms/

Extreme Sahel heatwave that hit highly vulnerable population at the end of Ramadan would not have occurred without climate change

At the end of March and the beginning of April 2024 a region across the #Sahel and West #Africa experienced extreme #heat, with maximum temperatures in the Sahel reaching more than 45°C and minimum temperatures of 32°C in Burkina Faso (#BurkinaFaso Meteorological Agency). #Kayes in Mali recorded 48.5°C on 3 April.

https://www.worldweatherattribution.org/extreme-sahel-heatwave-that-hit-highly-vulnerable-population-at-the-end-of-ramadan-would-not-have-occurred-without-climate-change/

Compounding natural hazards and high vulnerability led to severe impacts from Horn of Africa flooding exacerbated by #ClimateChange and Indian Ocean Dipole

After years of drought the short rainy season (Oct. to December, OND) in the #HornOfAfrica brought exceptionally heavy rains, particularly in November, leading to severe #flooding in the South of #Ethiopia, Eastern #Kenya and many regions in southern and central #Somalia.

https://www.worldweatherattribution.org/climate-change-indian-ocean-dipole-compounding-natural-hazards-and-high-vulnerability-increased-severity-of-flooding-in-the-horn-of-africa/

Interplay of #ClimateChange-exacerbated rainfall, exposure and vulnerability led to widespread impacts in the #Mediterranean region

The severe flooding in #Spain, #Greece, #Türkiye, #Bulgaria and #Libya was caused by very heavy rainfall.
We state that the return time for:

Spain is a 1-in-10 to 1-in-40 year event

Greece a 1-in-80 to 1-in-250 year event

GBT region a 1-in-5 to 1-in-10 year event

Libya a 1-in-300 to 1-in-600 year event.

https://www.worldweatherattribution.org/interplay-of-climate-change-exacerbated-rainfall-exposure-and-vulnerability-led-to-widespread-impacts-in-the-mediterranean-region/

Wenn 125 Milliardär*innen soviel Treibhausgase emittieren wie ganz Frankreich, kann man dann ihrem persönlichen Verhalten über die #WeatherAttribution Todesopfer der Erderhitzung zuordnen? Wäre das dann zumindest fahrlässige Tötung?

Ein entsprechender Prozess würde einmal für eine ordentliche Diskursverschiebung sorgen.

cc @tuxom @jensbest @ralphjanik

Extreme heat in North America, Europe and China in July 2023 made much more likely by #ClimateChange

Following a record hot June, large areas of the #US and #Mexico, Southern #Europe and #China experienced extreme heat in July 2023, breaking many local high temperature records. A #heatwave like the recent ones would occur every 2-5 years in a world that is 2°C warmer than the preindustrial #climate.
[we are on the way to this...]

https://www.worldweatherattribution.org/extreme-heat-in-north-america-europe-and-china-in-july-2023-made-much-more-likely-by-climate-change/

Climate change had no ‘significant’ impact on northern Italy floods in May 2023

The findings show that #ClimateChange led to no “significant change in the likelihood or intensity of such an event” at this time of year in this Italian region. The researchers say this suggests that “there is indeed no detectable increase in heavy rainfall in the #EmiliaRomagna region in spring”.

https://www.carbonbrief.org/climate-had-no-significant-impact-on-northern-italy-floods-in-may-2023/