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Tino Eberl<p><a href="https://mastodon.online/tags/SteadyCommunityContent" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>SteadyCommunityContent</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.online/tags/KINutzen" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>KINutzen</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.online/tags/Retr%C3%B6t" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Retröt</span></a></p><p>Wie lässt sich das Wetter künftig präziser und zugleich schneller vorhersagen?</p><p>Ein neues System für kurzfristige <a href="https://mastodon.online/tags/Wettervorhersagen" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Wettervorhersagen</span></a> und langfristige <a href="https://mastodon.online/tags/Klimaprognosen" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Klimaprognosen</span></a> nutzt künstliche Intelligenz, um Ergebnisse zu erzielen, die mit den besten vorhandenen Modellen vergleichbar sind, jedoch deutlich weniger <a href="https://mastodon.online/tags/Rechenleistung" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Rechenleistung</span></a> benötigen.</p><p><a href="https://mastodon.online/tags/MIT" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>MIT</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.online/tags/Harvard" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Harvard</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.online/tags/ECMWF" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>ECMWF</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.online/tags/Wettervorhersage" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Wettervorhersage</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.online/tags/Klimamodelle" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Klimamodelle</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.online/tags/MaschinellesLernen" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>MaschinellesLernen</span></a></p><p><a href="https://tino-eberl.de/nutzen-kuenstlicher-intelligenz/effizientere-wettervorhersagen-neuralgcm-kombiniert-physik-ki/" rel="nofollow noopener" translate="no" target="_blank"><span class="invisible">https://</span><span class="ellipsis">tino-eberl.de/nutzen-kuenstlic</span><span class="invisible">her-intelligenz/effizientere-wettervorhersagen-neuralgcm-kombiniert-physik-ki/</span></a></p>
CopernicusECMWF<p><a href="https://masto.ai/tags/ECMWF" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>ECMWF</span></a> scientists from <a href="https://masto.ai/tags/CopernicusClimate" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>CopernicusClimate</span></a> &amp; <a href="https://masto.ai/tags/CopernicusAtmosphere" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>CopernicusAtmosphere</span></a> have widely contributed to the <a href="https://masto.ai/tags/BAMS" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>BAMS</span></a> State of the Climate 2024 report, out today, sharing vital insights on global temperature, air quality &amp; wildfires. Read our article for details: <a href="https://atmosphere.copernicus.eu/ecmwf-contributions-bams-state-climate-2024-report" rel="nofollow noopener" translate="no" target="_blank"><span class="invisible">https://</span><span class="ellipsis">atmosphere.copernicus.eu/ecmwf</span><span class="invisible">-contributions-bams-state-climate-2024-report</span></a></p>
CopernicusECMWF<p>Explore the latest Copernicus OBSERVER article featuring a decade of milestones at <a href="https://masto.ai/tags/CopernicusClimate" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>CopernicusClimate</span></a> and <a href="https://masto.ai/tags/CopernicusAtmosphere" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>CopernicusAtmosphere</span></a> at <a href="https://masto.ai/tags/ecmwf" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>ecmwf</span></a> See how our data and insights have advanced evidence-based policy, public health and socioeconomic well-being across Europe. Read more: <a href="https://www.copernicus.eu/en/news/news/observer-supporting-policy-making-science-decade-copernicus-services-ecmwf" rel="nofollow noopener" translate="no" target="_blank"><span class="invisible">https://www.</span><span class="ellipsis">copernicus.eu/en/news/news/obs</span><span class="invisible">erver-supporting-policy-making-science-decade-copernicus-services-ecmwf</span></a></p>
Denis Gilbert 🌎<p>Always interesting to see how successive El Niño events and La Niña events modulate the global warming time series. The 1997-1998, 2015-2016, 2018-2019 and 2023-2024 El Niño events are easily detectable as bumps in this graphic from <a class="mention" href="https://bsky.app/profile/copernicusecmwf.bsky.social" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">@copernicusecmwf.bsky.social</a>. <a class="hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" href="https://bsky.app/search?q=%23ECMWF" target="_blank">#ECMWF</a> <a class="hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" href="https://bsky.app/search?q=%23GlobalWarming" target="_blank">#GlobalWarming</a> <a class="hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" href="https://bsky.app/search?q=%23ENSO" target="_blank">#ENSO</a> <a class="hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" href="https://bsky.app/search?q=%23ElNi%C3%B1o" target="_blank">#ElNiño</a><span class="quote-inline"><br><br>RE: <a href="https://bsky.app/profile/did:plc:6igyllqug5tvklzsh4mookla/post/3ltjan32s2c2f" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">https://bsky.app/profile/did:plc:6igyllqug5tvklzsh4mookla/post/3ltjan32s2c2f</a></span></p>
Joris Meys<p>Brace for impact. The <a href="https://mstdn.social/tags/ECMWF" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>ECMWF</span></a> <a href="https://mstdn.social/tags/weather" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>weather</span></a> <a href="https://mstdn.social/tags/model" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>model</span></a> promises scorching temperatures over <a href="https://mstdn.social/tags/Europe" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Europe</span></a> the coming week. Anomalies of up to 15-20 C higher than normal are expected.</p><p>This weather is brought to you by climate change (for those who claim it's been hot before: weather is what happens, climate is the probability it happens. And this has become significantly more probable because greenhouse gases and physics.)</p><p><a href="https://mstdn.social/tags/wx" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>wx</span></a> <a href="https://mstdn.social/tags/Climate" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Climate</span></a></p>
anlomedad<p>Global Mean Temperature GMT is just a way of keeping track of change, not a metric for actually useful information. <br>Our tech civilisation can break at GMT 1.5°C, and the reasons for impending collapse of complex fragile supply chains that our order depends on so fundamentally, won't be detected pondering GMT line charts.</p><p>Pondering the When &amp; Where of weather extremes as modelled in IFS and ICON, will reveal impending civilisation collapse – if combined with knowledge of: <br>global supply chains, indispensable workforce, and locally applicable national and international politics wrt social and climate safety nets.</p><p>That's also why I find this comparison of model resolutions by Brunner et al so very, very useful. <a href="https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/ade1ef" rel="nofollow noopener" translate="no" target="_blank"><span class="invisible">https://</span><span class="ellipsis">iopscience.iop.org/article/10.</span><span class="invisible">1088/1748-9326/ade1ef</span></a> </p><p>I discovered similar while trying to find the &lt;physically possible&gt; max rain events in Europe 2020-2024. I crawled through all 50 ECMWF weather forecast members with their 360 hour steps.<br>But the all-time maxima didn't even come close to the 2020-2024 maxima in NOAA's weather station collection, let alone showing higher rain amounts than what hit the ground.</p><p>The TIGGE archive can be used for data download: <a href="https://apps.ecmwf.int/datasets/data/tigge/levtype=sfc/type=pf/?date_year_month=202307&amp;origin-time=ecmf;12:00:00&amp;number=1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15,16,17,18,19,20,21,22,23,24,25,26,27,28,29,30,31,32,33,34,35,36,37,38,39,40,41,42,43,44,45,46,47,48,49,50&amp;step=294&amp;param=167" rel="nofollow noopener" translate="no" target="_blank"><span class="invisible">https://</span><span class="ellipsis">apps.ecmwf.int/datasets/data/t</span><span class="invisible">igge/levtype=sfc/type=pf/?date_year_month=202307&amp;origin-time=ecmf;12:00:00&amp;number=1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15,16,17,18,19,20,21,22,23,24,25,26,27,28,29,30,31,32,33,34,35,36,37,38,39,40,41,42,43,44,45,46,47,48,49,50&amp;step=294&amp;param=167</span></a></p><p>One problem was my 1x1°grid, interpolated during the data download from the original 0.5x0.5° grid = 57 km2. <br>(Interpolation means averaging neighbour grid cells.)</p><p>0.5x0.5° is too coarse, too. The paper uses models with a 9 km2 and 13 km2 grid!</p><p>Nah... Won't do it again on a 0.5x0.5° grid. <br>I might check whether TIGGE's other archived forecast models have a higher resolution than <a href="https://climatejustice.social/tags/ECMWF" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>ECMWF</span></a> . And if they do, I'll test the member forecasts for Valencia, September 2024.<br>Or maybe also test against another event that wasn't due to a recurring phenomenon like the one in Spain. The Belgium and Germany flooding on July 14, 2021 for example. </p><p>IIRC, the serial TIGGE download &amp; analysis took 5 weeks on 2 laptops, during which my main computer wasn't capable of much else.<br>I'd also need more SSD drives for higher resolution😵‍💫</p><p>Or, since I really simply want to map the maximum &lt;physically possible&gt; extreme, I could serial-process the highest resolution in smaller data chunks! 💡</p><p>I am still keen because I really think such a map of extremes, based on the physically possible would be very valuable information.</p><p>One example:<br>Potsdam's September 4th 2024 was the first September 4th with higher daily max temperature than in 1895. Meaning, the 1895 extreme was physically possible already in a non-angry weather.<br>That "perfect storm" only occurred once in 130 years before it happened again –&nbsp;and it wasn't a very threatening temperature (°C in September isn't threatening on Potsdam's latitude due to the sun's seasonal position in the sky).</p><p>But September 4, 2024 was not a "perfect Sept 4th storm". <br>What would the extreme have been like in "perfect conditions" –&nbsp;ie, with Exxon's CO2 applied? </p><p>Ah. Now that is a question I can find an answer to much quicker than the Tigge project. </p><p>I can just pull the all-time maximum from weather stations. Then do its weekly decadal average and subtract this from the newest weekly decadal average under Exxon's CO2 forcing. <br>Then add the difference to the all-time maximum, et voilà: the maximum physically possible in that location. </p><p>Nice. Will do!</p>
Jakob Thoböll - R.I.P. Natenom<p>Wo sind wir eigentlich falsch abgebogen, dass <a href="https://kirche.social/tags/Aktivisti" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Aktivisti</span></a> Leute anpöbeln und ihnen <a href="https://kirche.social/tags/Klimaleugnung" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Klimaleugnung</span></a> unterstellen, die die mediale Debatte und das Clickbaiting um die <a href="https://kirche.social/tags/ecmwf" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>ecmwf</span></a>-Langfristtrends kritisch betrachten und die Aussagekraft des ganzen nicht zu hoch ansetzen wollen? <br>Überholt der <a href="https://kirche.social/tags/aktivismus" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>aktivismus</span></a> jetzt die <a href="https://kirche.social/tags/wissenschaft" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>wissenschaft</span></a> ?</p>
O=C=O<p>German Satellite Achieves First Simultaneous CO2 and NO2 Measurements from Power Plant Emissions</p><p> The newly developed approach allows scientists to directly measure <a href="https://climatejustice.social/tags/CO2" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>CO2</span></a> and <a href="https://climatejustice.social/tags/NO2" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>NO2</span></a> over individual power plants, providing critical data for understanding atmospheric processes and industrial <a href="https://climatejustice.social/tags/emissions" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>emissions</span></a>. The findings, published in the journal Environmental Research Letters, demonstrate that EnMAP can effectively track emissions over distances of several tens of kilometers, a feat previously considered unfeasible for a satellite not explicitly designed for atmospheric measurements.</p><p>Power plants release CO2 and nitrogen oxides (NOx) as part of their regular operations, both of which significantly contribute to air pollution and climate change. CO2, a primary <a href="https://climatejustice.social/tags/GreenhouseGas" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>GreenhouseGas</span></a>, and NOx, a precursor to ground-level <a href="https://climatejustice.social/tags/ozone" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>ozone</span></a>, have traditionally been challenging to monitor at high spatial resolutions from space.</p><p>Most satellite instruments lack the fine-scale detail required to distinguish individual emission sources against the background atmospheric concentrations. <a href="https://climatejustice.social/tags/EnMAP" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>EnMAP</span></a>, however, overcomes these challenges with its unique capability to capture detailed 30 x 30 meter resolution imagery.</p><p>"Using the EnMAP data, we were able to determine the distribution of CO2 and NO2 in emission plumes from individual PowerPlants - for example, from facilities in <a href="https://climatejustice.social/tags/SaudiArabia" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>SaudiArabia</span></a> and the South African <a href="https://climatejustice.social/tags/Highveld" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Highveld</span></a> region, one of the world's largest emission hotspots," said Christian Borger, the study's first author and former postdoctoral researcher in the Satellite Remote Sensing Group at the Max Planck Institute for Chemistry. Borger now conducts research at the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (<a href="https://climatejustice.social/tags/ECMWF" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>ECMWF</span></a>) in <a href="https://climatejustice.social/tags/Bonn" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Bonn</span></a>.</p><p><a href="https://www.spacedaily.com/m/reports/German_Satellite_Achieves_First_Simultaneous_CO2_and_NO2_Measurements_from_Power_Plant_Emissions_999.html" rel="nofollow noopener" translate="no" target="_blank"><span class="invisible">https://www.</span><span class="ellipsis">spacedaily.com/m/reports/Germa</span><span class="invisible">n_Satellite_Achieves_First_Simultaneous_CO2_and_NO2_Measurements_from_Power_Plant_Emissions_999.html</span></a></p><p><a href="https://climatejustice.social/tags/ClimateScience" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>ClimateScience</span></a> <br><a href="https://climatejustice.social/tags/ClimateCrisis" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>ClimateCrisis</span></a> <br><a href="https://climatejustice.social/tags/RemoteSensing" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>RemoteSensing</span></a></p>
joene 🏴🍉<p>Dr Gilbz: *Europe’s climate is heating faster than any other*</p><p>"2024 was the world’s hottest year on record, and Europe is the continent warming the fastest. Extreme events ravaged Europe last year, including floods, wildfires and storms that claimed hundreds of lives and impacted many thousands more. </p><p>To find out more, I spoke to Julien Nicolas, a co-author of the European State of the Climate Report, a huge undertaking that was put together by the European Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasting on behalf of the Copernicus Climate Change Service and World Meteorological Organisation."</p><p><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?app=desktop&amp;v=B5FmWfIyTUI" rel="nofollow noopener" translate="no" target="_blank"><span class="invisible">https://www.</span><span class="ellipsis">youtube.com/watch?app=desktop&amp;</span><span class="invisible">v=B5FmWfIyTUI</span></a> <br>(🛡️ <a href="https://id.420129.xyz/watch?v=B5FmWfIyTUI" rel="nofollow noopener" translate="no" target="_blank"><span class="invisible">https://</span><span class="ellipsis">id.420129.xyz/watch?v=B5FmWfIy</span><span class="invisible">TUI</span></a>)</p><p><a href="https://todon.nl/tags/ClimateCrisis" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>ClimateCrisis</span></a> <a href="https://todon.nl/tags/ClimateChange" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>ClimateChange</span></a> <a href="https://todon.nl/tags/ESOTC2024" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>ESOTC2024</span></a> <a href="https://todon.nl/tags/ECMWF" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>ECMWF</span></a> <a href="https://todon.nl/tags/CopernicusClimate" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>CopernicusClimate</span></a> <a href="https://todon.nl/tags/WMO" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>WMO</span></a></p>
CopernicusECMWF<p>Every chart, data insight and key finding in the <a href="https://masto.ai/tags/ESOTC2024" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>ESOTC2024</span></a> is the result of international teamwork. A collective effort by <a href="https://masto.ai/tags/C3S" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>C3S</span></a>—implemented by <a href="https://masto.ai/tags/ECMWF" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>ECMWF</span></a> and supported by the European Commission—alongside WMO and contributors worldwide, the report drives critical understanding of our evolving climate. 👉 <a href="https://bit.ly/4llEy6q" rel="nofollow noopener" translate="no" target="_blank"><span class="invisible">https://</span><span class="">bit.ly/4llEy6q</span><span class="invisible"></span></a></p>
radioscout<p><span class="h-card" translate="no"><a href="https://troet.cafe/@Ellis_ramblings" class="u-url mention" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">@<span>Ellis_ramblings</span></a></span> Seit wenigen Monaten wird KI in der <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/Wettervorhersage" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Wettervorhersage</span></a> benutzt, z. B. mit dem <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/AIFS" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>AIFS</span></a> des <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/ECMWF" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>ECMWF</span></a>:</p><p><a href="https://charts.ecmwf.int/catalogue/packages/ai_models/" rel="nofollow noopener" translate="no" target="_blank"><span class="invisible">https://</span><span class="ellipsis">charts.ecmwf.int/catalogue/pac</span><span class="invisible">kages/ai_models/</span></a></p><p>Google hat auch ein AI-Wettermodell: GraphCast.</p>
Winbuzzer<p>New Weather AI Promises Faster, Low-Cost Forecasting Without Supercomputers</p><p><a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/AI" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>AI</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/WeatherTech" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>WeatherTech</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/MachineLearning" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>MachineLearning</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/AardvarkWeather" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>AardvarkWeather</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/ClimateScience" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>ClimateScience</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/Forecasting" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Forecasting</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/DeepLearning" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>DeepLearning</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/MicrosoftResearch" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>MicrosoftResearch</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/ECMWF" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>ECMWF</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/AIWeather" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>AIWeather</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/Meteorology" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Meteorology</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/WeatherAI" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>WeatherAI</span></a></p><p><a href="https://winbuzzer.com/2025/03/20/new-weather-ai-promises-faster-low-cost-forecasting-without-supercomputers-xcxwbn/" rel="nofollow noopener" translate="no" target="_blank"><span class="invisible">https://</span><span class="ellipsis">winbuzzer.com/2025/03/20/new-w</span><span class="invisible">eather-ai-promises-faster-low-cost-forecasting-without-supercomputers-xcxwbn/</span></a></p>
Paul Schoonhoven 🍋🍉<p><span class="h-card" translate="no"><a href="https://eupolicy.social/@Akshay" class="u-url mention" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">@<span>Akshay</span></a></span> in reaction to the defunded NOAA <span class="h-card" translate="no"><a href="https://masto.ai/@CopernicusECMWF" class="u-url mention" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">@<span>CopernicusECMWF</span></a></span> announced this:</p><p>Link:<br>ECMWF to achieve fully open data status in 2025 | ECMWF<br><a href="https://www.ecmwf.int/en/about/media-centre/news/2025/ecmwf-achieve-fully-open-data-status-2025" rel="nofollow noopener" translate="no" target="_blank"><span class="invisible">https://www.</span><span class="ellipsis">ecmwf.int/en/about/media-centr</span><span class="invisible">e/news/2025/ecmwf-achieve-fully-open-data-status-2025</span></a></p><p>(Via <span class="h-card" translate="no"><a href="https://fosstodon.org/@bert_hubert" class="u-url mention" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">@<span>bert_hubert</span></a></span>, <a href="https://mastodon.nl/@bert_hubert@fosstodon.org/114188471958202711" rel="nofollow noopener" translate="no" target="_blank"><span class="invisible">https://</span><span class="ellipsis">mastodon.nl/@bert_hubert@fosst</span><span class="invisible">odon.org/114188471958202711</span></a> )</p><p><a href="https://mastodon.nl/tags/NOAA" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>NOAA</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.nl/tags/ECMWF" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>ECMWF</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.nl/tags/Climate" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Climate</span></a></p>
Denis Gilbert<p><span class="h-card" translate="no"><a href="https://fediscience.org/@ECMWF" class="u-url mention" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">@<span>ECMWF</span></a></span>'s Artificial Intelligence Forecasting System (AIFS) is now operational, issuing forecasts from a single model run.</p><p><a href="https://www.ecmwf.int/en/about/media-centre/news/2025/ecmwfs-ai-forecasts-become-operational" rel="nofollow noopener" translate="no" target="_blank"><span class="invisible">https://www.</span><span class="ellipsis">ecmwf.int/en/about/media-centr</span><span class="invisible">e/news/2025/ecmwfs-ai-forecasts-become-operational</span></a></p><p>Using the 2025-03-01 06:00 UTC AIFS Single forecast, here is the 2025-03-01 18:00 UTC (T+12h) forecast mean sea level pressure and 6-hour accumulated <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/precipitation" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>precipitation</span></a> (water equivalent) over Europe and North America.</p><p><a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/ecmwf" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>ecmwf</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/weather" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>weather</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/wx" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>wx</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/ai" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>ai</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/europe" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>europe</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/northamerica" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>northamerica</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/canada" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>canada</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/usa" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>usa</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/mexico" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>mexico</span></a></p>
_mu<p>In times of climate radically changing, the <a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/ECMWF" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>ECMWF</span></a> european midrange weather forcast replaces physics based models with models based on automated statistics aka past data aka <a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/ai" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>ai</span></a>... I feel like reading a dystopic novel, that lacks a bit in suspense, because while reading, you always think "aaah i see where the author is going with this".</p><p>Only ther's no author.</p><p>Or am i missing a point?</p><p>What are the driving forces that make us go this way? </p><p>Heres the original statement: <a href="https://www.ecmwf.int/en/about/media-centre/news/2025/ecmwfs-ai-forecasts-become-operational" rel="nofollow noopener" translate="no" target="_blank"><span class="invisible">https://www.</span><span class="ellipsis">ecmwf.int/en/about/media-centr</span><span class="invisible">e/news/2025/ecmwfs-ai-forecasts-become-operational</span></a></p><p><a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/naturalstupidity" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>naturalstupidity</span></a></p>
MediaFaro News Digest<p>European Weather Service: New AI weather model needs 1000 times less electricity.</p><p>The European Center for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) is making available data from a new AI-based weather model that is significantly more accurate and requires around 1000 times less energy to produce a forecast.</p><p><a href="https://mediafaro.org/article/20250225-european-weather-service-new-ai-weather-model-needs-1000-times-less-electricity?mf_channel=mastodon&amp;action=forward" rel="nofollow noopener" translate="no" target="_blank"><span class="invisible">https://</span><span class="ellipsis">mediafaro.org/article/20250225</span><span class="invisible">-european-weather-service-new-ai-weather-model-needs-1000-times-less-electricity?mf_channel=mastodon&amp;action=forward</span></a></p><p><a href="https://mastodon.mediafaro.org/tags/AI" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>AI</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.mediafaro.org/tags/Weather" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Weather</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.mediafaro.org/tags/ECMWF" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>ECMWF</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.mediafaro.org/tags/WeatherForecasting" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>WeatherForecasting</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.mediafaro.org/tags/Meteorology" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Meteorology</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.mediafaro.org/tags/Science" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Science</span></a></p>
Frank Sonntag<p>(Please also see Phil Browne's comment below for ECMWF's open data plans)</p><p>There are a quite a lot of weather companies and even national weather services around the world that depend on the freely and reliably available global model data from the US NWS.</p><p>There is now a real risk that this access will be shut off or made unaffordable.</p><p>I really do hope that <span class="h-card" translate="no"><a href="https://fediscience.org/@ECMWF" class="u-url mention" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">@<span>ECMWF</span></a></span> is thinking about this and considering to finally make their model data freely available for at least non-member state weather services - in particular in the global south.</p><p>IMO the model data in full should be free for everyone (like the US data has been for decades) since it is tax payer funded and would allow weather companies around the world to run their own models and innovate products and services.</p><p>I've always found it ironic that the US is so much more generous with their data than the "socialist" Europeans are.</p><p><a href="https://fediscience.org/tags/NWS" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>NWS</span></a> <a href="https://fediscience.org/tags/GFS" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>GFS</span></a> <a href="https://fediscience.org/tags/ECMWF" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>ECMWF</span></a> <a href="https://fediscience.org/tags/IFS" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>IFS</span></a> <a href="https://fediscience.org/tags/OpenData" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>OpenData</span></a></p>
Tino Eberl<p>Falls jemand noch genauere Erklärungen zur Transformation <a href="https://mastodon.online/tags/Deutschlands" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Deutschlands</span></a> in ein <a href="https://mastodon.online/tags/Anbaugebiet" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Anbaugebiet</span></a> von Zitrusfrüchten erfahren möchte, dann gibt es hier die Aufzeichnung der <a href="https://mastodon.online/tags/Pressekonferenz" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Pressekonferenz</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.online/tags/Copernicus" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Copernicus</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.online/tags/ECMWF" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>ECMWF</span></a>:</p><p><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FwjRTbNETZM" rel="nofollow noopener" translate="no" target="_blank"><span class="invisible">https://www.</span><span class="">youtube.com/watch?v=FwjRTbNETZM</span><span class="invisible"></span></a></p><p><a href="https://mastodon.online/tags/Klimaschutz" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Klimaschutz</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.online/tags/Klimawandel" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Klimawandel</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.online/tags/Klimakrise" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Klimakrise</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.online/tags/ClimateCrisis" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>ClimateCrisis</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.online/tags/globale%C3%9Cberhitzung" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>globaleÜberhitzung</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.online/tags/Erderw%C3%A4rmung" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Erderwärmung</span></a></p>
Tino Eberl<p>2024 war das bisher wärmste Jahr weltweit: Zum ersten Mal lag die durchschnittliche globale <a href="https://mastodon.online/tags/Temperatur" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Temperatur</span></a> über 1,5°C über dem vorindustriellen Niveau.</p><p><a href="https://climate.copernicus.eu/copernicus-2024-first-year-exceed-15degc-above-pre-industrial-level" rel="nofollow noopener" translate="no" target="_blank"><span class="invisible">https://</span><span class="ellipsis">climate.copernicus.eu/copernic</span><span class="invisible">us-2024-first-year-exceed-15degc-above-pre-industrial-level</span></a></p><p>Menschgemachter <a href="https://mastodon.online/tags/Klimawandel" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Klimawandel</span></a> bleibt der Haupttreiber extremer Temperaturen an Land und im Meer. Auch das <a href="https://mastodon.online/tags/Wetterph%C3%A4nomen" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Wetterphänomen</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.online/tags/ElNi%C3%B1o" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>ElNiño</span></a> trug dazu bei. Daten von Organisationen wie <a href="https://mastodon.online/tags/ECMWF" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>ECMWF</span></a>, <a href="https://mastodon.online/tags/NASA" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>NASA</span></a> und <a href="https://mastodon.online/tags/WMO" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>WMO</span></a> unterstreichen die außergewöhnlichen Bedingungen des vergangenen Jahres. 🌍 </p><p><a href="https://mastodon.online/tags/Erderw%C3%A4rmung" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Erderwärmung</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.online/tags/Klimaziele" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Klimaziele</span></a></p>
💧🌏 Greg Cocks<p>Rapid Surge In Global Warming Mainly Due To Reduced Planetary Albedo<br>--<br><a href="https://phys.org/news/2024-12-rapid-surge-global-due-planetary.html" rel="nofollow noopener" translate="no" target="_blank"><span class="invisible">https://</span><span class="ellipsis">phys.org/news/2024-12-rapid-su</span><span class="invisible">rge-global-due-planetary.html</span></a> &lt;-- shared technical article<br>--<br><a href="https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/science.adq7280" rel="nofollow noopener" translate="no" target="_blank"><span class="invisible">https://www.</span><span class="ellipsis">science.org/doi/10.1126/scienc</span><span class="invisible">e.adq7280</span></a> &lt;-- shared paper<br>--<br><a href="https://techhub.social/tags/GIS" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>GIS</span></a> <a href="https://techhub.social/tags/spatial" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>spatial</span></a> <a href="https://techhub.social/tags/mapping" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>mapping</span></a> <a href="https://techhub.social/tags/globe" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>globe</span></a> <a href="https://techhub.social/tags/global" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>global</span></a> <a href="https://techhub.social/tags/climatechange" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>climatechange</span></a> <a href="https://techhub.social/tags/warming" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>warming</span></a> <a href="https://techhub.social/tags/remotesensing" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>remotesensing</span></a> <a href="https://techhub.social/tags/PlanetaryAlbedo" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>PlanetaryAlbedo</span></a> <a href="https://techhub.social/tags/Planetary" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Planetary</span></a> <a href="https://techhub.social/tags/Albedo" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Albedo</span></a> <a href="https://techhub.social/tags/model" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>model</span></a> <a href="https://techhub.social/tags/modeling" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>modeling</span></a> <a href="https://techhub.social/tags/AWI" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>AWI</span></a> <a href="https://techhub.social/tags/ECMWF" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>ECMWF</span></a> <a href="https://techhub.social/tags/NASA" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>NASA</span></a> <a href="https://techhub.social/tags/weather" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>weather</span></a> <a href="https://techhub.social/tags/energybudget" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>energybudget</span></a> <a href="https://techhub.social/tags/causation" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>causation</span></a></p>