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#deterrence

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Geriatric Gardener<p>Excellent article!! </p><p>“Amro Allan examines how Iran emerged from 12 days of war with its nuclear program intact, forcing a ceasefire without concessions, an act of strategic defiance that redefined the deterrence established against "Israel" and the US”</p><p>via Al Mayadeen English on Telegram </p><p>READ HERE: <a href="https://en.mdn.tv/8Xuq" rel="nofollow noopener" translate="no" target="_blank"><span class="invisible">https://</span><span class="">en.mdn.tv/8Xuq</span><span class="invisible"></span></a></p><p><a href="https://mstdn.social/tags/Press" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Press</span></a> <a href="https://mstdn.social/tags/Israel" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Israel</span></a> <a href="https://mstdn.social/tags/US" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>US</span></a> <a href="https://mstdn.social/tags/UK" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>UK</span></a> <a href="https://mstdn.social/tags/Iran" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Iran</span></a> <a href="https://mstdn.social/tags/War" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>War</span></a> <a href="https://mstdn.social/tags/Attack" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Attack</span></a> <a href="https://mstdn.social/tags/Natanz" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Natanz</span></a> <a href="https://mstdn.social/tags/Isfahan" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Isfahan</span></a> <a href="https://mstdn.social/tags/Fordow" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Fordow</span></a> <a href="https://mstdn.social/tags/Netanyahu" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Netanyahu</span></a> <a href="https://mstdn.social/tags/Trump" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Trump</span></a> <a href="https://mstdn.social/tags/StrategicPause" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>StrategicPause</span></a> <a href="https://mstdn.social/tags/Deterrence" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Deterrence</span></a> <a href="https://mstdn.social/tags/Enriched" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Enriched</span></a> <a href="https://mstdn.social/tags/Uranium" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Uranium</span></a> <a href="https://mstdn.social/tags/IAEA" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>IAEA</span></a></p>
Liam O'Mara IV, PhD<p>We further wiped out our credibility for negotiations with <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/Iran" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Iran</span></a> and gave an incentive to develop atomic <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/deterrence" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>deterrence</span></a> by invading and bombing them, spending hundreds of millions in ordnance &amp; fuel, only to fail entirely to destroy their nuclear programme.</p><p><a href="https://www.theguardian.com/world/2025/jun/24/iran-strikes-nuclear-sites-report" rel="nofollow noopener" translate="no" target="_blank"><span class="invisible">https://www.</span><span class="ellipsis">theguardian.com/world/2025/jun</span><span class="invisible">/24/iran-strikes-nuclear-sites-report</span></a></p>
Geriatric Gardener<p>“Iran's tragic mistake: The criminal Israeli-American aggression should serve as a moment of clarity for Iran”</p><p>by Palestine Will Be Free on Substack </p><p><span class="h-card" translate="no"><a href="https://a.gup.pe/u/palestine" class="u-url mention" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">@<span>palestine</span></a></span><br><span class="h-card" translate="no"><a href="https://a.gup.pe/u/israel" class="u-url mention" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">@<span>israel</span></a></span></p><p>“The one thing that would have made it [Iran] absolutely untouchable to Israeli-American aggression is actually acquiring nuclear weapons”</p><p><a href="https://open.substack.com/pub/palestinewillbefree/p/irans-tragic-mistake" rel="nofollow noopener" translate="no" target="_blank"><span class="invisible">https://</span><span class="ellipsis">open.substack.com/pub/palestin</span><span class="invisible">ewillbefree/p/irans-tragic-mistake</span></a></p><p><a href="https://mstdn.social/tags/Press" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Press</span></a> <a href="https://mstdn.social/tags/US" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>US</span></a> <a href="https://mstdn.social/tags/Israel" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Israel</span></a> <a href="https://mstdn.social/tags/Iran" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Iran</span></a> <a href="https://mstdn.social/tags/War" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>War</span></a> <a href="https://mstdn.social/tags/NuclearWeapon" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>NuclearWeapon</span></a> <a href="https://mstdn.social/tags/Deterrence" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Deterrence</span></a> <a href="https://mstdn.social/tags/Peace" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Peace</span></a> <a href="https://mstdn.social/tags/Pakistan" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Pakistan</span></a> <a href="https://mstdn.social/tags/NorthKorea" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>NorthKorea</span></a></p>
Félicien Breton 🍉 🔻 🌱<p>"For Tehran, the attacks by two nuclear-armed countries revealed that the Non-Proliferation Treaty, of which Iran is a member, not only has no real value, but is in fact harmful"</p><p>by Seyed Hossein Mousavian: <a href="https://www.middleeasteye.net/opinion/after-us-attack-iran-could-reconsider-its-nuclear-strategy" rel="nofollow noopener" translate="no" target="_blank"><span class="invisible">https://www.</span><span class="ellipsis">middleeasteye.net/opinion/afte</span><span class="invisible">r-us-attack-iran-could-reconsider-its-nuclear-strategy</span></a></p><p><span class="h-card" translate="no"><a href="https://a.gup.pe/u/iran" class="u-url mention" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">@<span>iran</span></a></span> <span class="h-card" translate="no"><a href="https://a.gup.pe/u/israel" class="u-url mention" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">@<span>israel</span></a></span></p><p><a href="https://climatejustice.social/tags/nuclear" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>nuclear</span></a> <a href="https://climatejustice.social/tags/proliferation" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>proliferation</span></a> <a href="https://climatejustice.social/tags/NPT" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>NPT</span></a> <a href="https://climatejustice.social/tags/deterrence" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>deterrence</span></a> <a href="https://climatejustice.social/tags/escalation" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>escalation</span></a> <a href="https://climatejustice.social/tags/stateTerrorism" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>stateTerrorism</span></a> <a href="https://climatejustice.social/tags/MiddleEast" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>MiddleEast</span></a> <a href="https://climatejustice.social/tags/war" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>war</span></a> <a href="https://climatejustice.social/tags/IranIsrael" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>IranIsrael</span></a> <a href="https://climatejustice.social/tags/IsraelIran" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>IsraelIran</span></a> <a href="https://climatejustice.social/tags/IsraelIranWar" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>IsraelIranWar</span></a> <a href="https://climatejustice.social/tags/IranWar" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>IranWar</span></a> <a href="https://climatejustice.social/tags/Tehran" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Tehran</span></a> <a href="https://climatejustice.social/tags/Pezeshkian" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Pezeshkian</span></a> <a href="https://climatejustice.social/tags/Netanyahu" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Netanyahu</span></a> <a href="https://climatejustice.social/tags/Iran" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Iran</span></a> <a href="https://climatejustice.social/tags/DefundIsrael" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>DefundIsrael</span></a> <a href="https://climatejustice.social/tags/Fordo" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Fordo</span></a> <a href="https://climatejustice.social/tags/Fordow" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Fordow</span></a> <a href="https://climatejustice.social/tags/Natanz" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Natanz</span></a> <a href="https://climatejustice.social/tags/Isfahan" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Isfahan</span></a> <a href="https://climatejustice.social/tags/geopolitics" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>geopolitics</span></a></p>
Dierk Haasis<p>Considering John von Neumann, Teheran now HAS TO build atomic bombs.</p><p><a href="https://toot.community/tags/deterrence" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>deterrence</span></a></p>
Europe<p>Türkiye unveils plans to boost deterrence amid regional tensions</p><p>President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan has said this week he plans to strengthen the country’s deterrence capabilities, including the…<br><a href="https://flipboard.social/tags/Europe" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Europe</span></a> <a href="https://flipboard.social/tags/T%C3%BCrkiye" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Türkiye</span></a> <a href="https://flipboard.social/tags/defensesystems" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>defensesystems</span></a> <a href="https://flipboard.social/tags/Deterrence" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Deterrence</span></a> <a href="https://flipboard.social/tags/israelirantensions" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>israelirantensions</span></a> <a href="https://flipboard.social/tags/Turkey" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Turkey</span></a> <a href="https://flipboard.social/tags/turkishdefenseindustry" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>turkishdefenseindustry</span></a> <a href="https://flipboard.social/tags/turkiye" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>turkiye</span></a><br><a href="https://www.europesays.com/2184641/" rel="nofollow noopener" translate="no" target="_blank"><span class="invisible">https://www.</span><span class="">europesays.com/2184641/</span><span class="invisible"></span></a></p>
Mattdotvu<p>UAE Analyst Breaks Down Tehran Strike as Global Turning&nbsp;Point</p><p>UAE analyst Ahmed Sharif Al-Amri calls the Tehran airstrike a turning point in global strategy, signaling the collapse of ambiguity and the rise of action-based deterrence. His message: the world is done waiting | <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/Iran" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Iran</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/Tehran" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Tehran</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/Israel" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Israel</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/MiddleEast" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>MiddleEast</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/AhmedSharifAlAmri" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>AhmedSharifAlAmri</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/Deterrence" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Deterrence</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/ProxyWars" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>ProxyWars</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/StrategicClarity" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>StrategicClarity</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/XAnalysis" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>XAnalysis</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/Geopolitics" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Geopolitics</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/UAE" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>UAE</span></a></p><p><a href="http://mattdotvu.blog/2025/06/17/uae-analyst-breaks-down-tehran-strike-as-global-turning-point/" rel="nofollow noopener" translate="no" target="_blank"><span class="invisible">http://</span><span class="ellipsis">mattdotvu.blog/2025/06/17/uae-</span><span class="invisible">analyst-breaks-down-tehran-strike-as-global-turning-point/</span></a></p>
Bytes Europe<p>NATO leader calls for ‘quantum leap’ in defense to deter Russia <a href="https://www.byteseu.com/1091934/" rel="nofollow noopener" translate="no" target="_blank"><span class="invisible">https://www.</span><span class="">byteseu.com/1091934/</span><span class="invisible"></span></a> <a href="https://pubeurope.com/tags/air" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>air</span></a> <a href="https://pubeurope.com/tags/Defense" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Defense</span></a> <a href="https://pubeurope.com/tags/Deterrence" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Deterrence</span></a> <a href="https://pubeurope.com/tags/Drones" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Drones</span></a> <a href="https://pubeurope.com/tags/Europe" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Europe</span></a> <a href="https://pubeurope.com/tags/MarkRutte" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>MarkRutte</span></a> <a href="https://pubeurope.com/tags/Military" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Military</span></a> <a href="https://pubeurope.com/tags/Missile" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Missile</span></a> <a href="https://pubeurope.com/tags/NATO" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>NATO</span></a> <a href="https://pubeurope.com/tags/QuantumLeap" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>QuantumLeap</span></a> <a href="https://pubeurope.com/tags/Russia" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Russia</span></a> <a href="https://pubeurope.com/tags/spending" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>spending</span></a> <a href="https://pubeurope.com/tags/threats" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>threats</span></a></p>
Kevin Karhan :verified:<p><span class="h-card" translate="no"><a href="https://mastodon.giftedmc.com/@haui" class="u-url mention" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">@<span>haui</span></a></span> yeah, the Guarantors of the West (<a href="https://infosec.space/tags/UK" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>UK</span></a> &amp; <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/USA" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>USA</span></a>) failed to follow their contractual obligations, making them unreliable.</p><ul><li>Cuz starting with the <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/Invasion" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Invasion</span></a> of <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/Crimea" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Crimea</span></a> and <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/Annexation" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Annexation</span></a> of it and other parts they would've to put <em>"<a href="https://infosec.space/tags/BootsOnTheGround" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>BootsOnTheGround</span></a>"</em> already.</li></ul><p>In fact, their non-action enabled Putin and they can be glad <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/Ukraine" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Ukraine</span></a> didn't took the logical consequence of leaving the <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/NPT" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>NPT</span></a> citing said failure as reasoning.</p><ul><li>Already these developments send shockwaves as they make it abundantly clear that one cannot trust any <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/UN" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>UN</span></a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/VetoPower" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>VetoPower</span></a> and the only <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/deterrence" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>deterrence</span></a> against <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/Russia" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Russia</span></a> deciding to genocide one from the map is <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/nuclear" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>nuclear</span></a>, which is seemingly the inconvenient reality...</li></ul>

If Moscow manages to negotiate the lifting of sanctions in exchange for a ceasefire, its militarised economy will quickly regain strength
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Only deterrence by denial – ensuring that any future attack would be impossible or overwhelmingly costly – can secure lasting peace in the region.
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Deterrence must be pan-European, treating Ukraine’s security as an integral part of the broader European defence architecture
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From: rusi.org/explore-our-research/

www.rusi.orgConsolidating Europe’s Eastern Frontiers: the Options for Ukraine and the ContinentCome a ceasefire in Ukraine, the border to Europe’s East will remain a line of tension with no end in sight, necessitating new concepts for collective defence.